If you were to put 1, unprofitable forex traders in a room and asked them how they read trend, all of them would have slightly different answers. But if you were to put 1, profitable forex traders in a room and asked them the same question, you would get a much more concise description from them. Today I am going to show you ONE of the methods that work.

In fact, most of the price action in most markets is noise or consolidation with no clear directional bias. This makes capturing large trending moves consistently extremely difficult for most traders.

Can you predict which direction it is more likely to head in by just glancing at it? The black lines represent the trend.

The red line represents the last line of defense for this bearish trend, and the blue line represents support for this consolidation period. But you should be aware that this market is likely to head lower from here before it breaks above the red line. Which means that any long trades you take should be considered counter-trend trades and managed accordingly.

Even though these are cherry-picked examples for demonstration purposes, I would treat a live chart exactly the same way every time I perform my analysis and I always feel confident in the probabilities of being correct in my directional bias.

Each time a new low is created, we draw a red line from the highest wick preceding the break lower. Until price breaks and closes above that previous swing high, the bearish trend is to be considered intact, and price is to be expected to have a higher probability of continuing lower until one of these red lines is breached.

Once that happens, the trend is over. We then enter either consolidation or a reversal situation. Where do you think price is likely to go next — above the red line, or below the blue line? Notice in this example that price did not close below 1. The wicks tested below that level, but the candles did not close below there.

Which means that throughout this entire period, our bias should have been bullish. Each time a new high is created, we draw a blue line from the lowest wick preceding the break higher. Until price breaks and closes below that previous swing low, the bullish trend is to be considered intact, and price is to be expected to have a higher probability of continuing higher until one of these blue lines is breached.

Once that happens, the bullish trend is over. The purpose of having objective and clearly defined rules for identifying a trending market is so that we can make the best decision on what strategies to employ at any given time.

Which means that I depend on this trend analysis in order to filter out low-probability setups. The 0. The purpose of this method is to identify the larger trend swings in a market. Once you have mastered this skill, you can then employ intraday trading strategies to try to capture profit out of these predictable swings.

If you have any questions, feel free to leave a comment below and I will do my best to clarify any confusion you might have. How To Find A Trading Mentor The Importance of Discipline The Mystery of Technical Analysis. Best Trading Books Best Trading Podcasts PineScript Lessons EAP Course Review TradingView Review TradingView Indicators My YouTube Channel.

Forex Trading Tip 4: How To Read Trend September 14, Share Tweet LinkedIn. The easiest way to find a new trend is to find a trend that breaks a lower high. Depending on your trading preference, you can do this in any time frame. See how lower highs are ramping up into a trend direction change in the image above.

In the Forex trading landscape, a long term or major trend usually lasts longer than one year. Depending on the nature of the trend, an intermediate or secondary trend can last anywhere from three weeks to a couple of months. While the short or near-term Forex trend is generally shorter than three weeks. Sometimes, an intermediate trend may represent a correction of a major trend. There may be a series of intermediate peaks and troughs within the intermediate trend itself, each of which can be identified as a near-term trend.

For trend analysis, long-term forex trends are best viewed on daily charts, while intermediate trends should be viewed on hourly charts, and short-term trends should be viewed on minute charts. Most Forex traders usually identify the trend by turning to technical analysis. Technical analysis involves both trend lines and indicators.

The following section describes them one by one. Most Forex traders read a chart by identifying bars and candles. A line graph is a simpler and more effective way to read a chart. For trend analysis, an easy and fast way to identify the trend direction is to use a line graph instead of bars and candles that provide detailed information. For you to identify a trading trend, this is a good place to start. A very easy way to identify a trend is to look at charts for highs and lows.

An uptrend in this context means that the price is making a series of higher highs and higher lows. A downtrend, on the other hand, refers to lower highs and lower lows due to a larger number of sellers pushing prices downward; lows are also low because sellers are selling but there are no interested buyers.

No indicators are required for this type of trend analysis. This method is purely based on price action. According to the Dow Theory, market prices always show a trend after discounting several factors like the political environment that affect the market.

In this sense, trend line analysis only studies the behaviour of price based on the previous assumptions. Basically, traders will enter long positions when the price trend is getting up. On the other hand, they sell when prices are getting lower. Trend lines help to identify entry and exit points through support and resistance levels. Another way to use this strategy is to wait for a trend reversal to enter the market. Eventually, any price trend will come to an end.

A skilled trader can anticipate trends with their honed trading instincts. But for new traders, it is very useful to have an objective method for identifying and confirming trends. It offers new traders the opportunity to learn first and then improvise later. A moving average is one of the most useful tools in this regard.

A moving average is a calculation to analyze data using the average change in a data series over time. It is a common technical analysis indicator.

Moving averages help in identifying the continuity of a trend. Usually, traders enter long positions when a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term moving average and vice versa.

Momentum indicators are used to measure the strengths and weaknesses of price trends. Common momentum indicators include the relative strength index RSI and moving average convergence divergence MACD. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD indicator helps traders identify trends by calculating the average price of a security over a specific period.

This trend trading strategy is the most effective because it involves several traders entering long positions at a timeframe where the short-term moving average is higher than the longer-term moving average. The majority of Forex beginners lose money. Professional traders believe that trading with the trend of the market is one of the best ways to succeed in Forex.

Technical analysis plays a crucial role in trend analysis since it helps determine if and when a current trend will continue. Technical analysis is a method of studying market behaviour to predict future price directions based on price charts. The technical analysis revolves around the premise that all market-affecting factors — fundamental knowledge, political events, natural catastrophes, and psychological considerations — are immediately discounted in market price action.

As a result of such events, price movements will immediately follow, whether upward or downward. By analyzing data, analysts can better predict what will happen next in the market. A Forex trader must be able to recognize price-based indicators, volume-based indicators, and moving averages in order to make an informed decision. Several resources can be found online to teach you the basics of technical analysis while you learn Forex trading.

You can speed up the process by taking online courses and contacting professional traders. By doing so, you can avoid common mistakes made by newbies. Understanding the key principles and applying them to a demo trading account is the best way to learn forex trading technical analysis. Another method to learn is to copy professional traders until you are confident enough to trade on your own.

In copy trading, a trader copies the positions of a professional trader, either automatically or manually. Learn more on how to Copy Trade with AximTrade.

Trending markets are ideal for swing traders with larger price targets, whereas range-bound markets are more suitable for scalping and day trading where traders seek quick profits with smaller price targets. Trend lines and channels help traders to determine optimal entry and exit levels.

In an uptrend, a trendline is drawn from one particular low and connects the following highs. The line, therefore, acts as a dynamic support line, as you can buy when the price touches the trendline. The reverse applies on a downtrend, as the trendline is drawn from one high, connecting it to the successive lower high.

The trendline here acts as a resistance line, as you can sell when the price touches the trendline. Assuming everyone understands the forex trend structure now, it is time to begin planning trades.

Understanding the setup is a vital aspect of any forex trend trading system. Here are the 5 steps to applying a Forex trend trading entry strategy. Now that you have a firm foundation on how to identify and trade forex trends using trend analysis. Prepare your plan and analyze the results to determine if trading forex trends is the right method for you. Forex analysis is usually provided by professional traders and market experts who already have solid experience in analyzing the financial markets.

Usually, at the beginning of the week or after major new releases, the forex professionals will provide technical analysis on the major pairs or gold and this includes trend analysis and other indicators such as the moving average. Therefore, we help the traders and forex community by providing weekly forex analysis and forex news to help traders to predict the market and as well to learn forex analysis, and enhance their trading strategies.

It is time to start exploring forex trading and to open forex account in a few easy steps with AximTrade.

The forex market is the most traded global financial market. You can trade actively in this market for 24 hours a day for seven days a week across multiple time zones. When there is movement in the exchange rate, the trader makes or losses money. These movements, also known as trends, are essential for traders to make money.

Investors use various techniques and indicators to identify these trends. A trend in the forex market indicates the movement of the price of a currency pair in a predictable direction over a specific period. The price of a currency pair is known as the exchange rate. To increase your trading performance, you must understand the direction of this price movement. Trends help you pick the right path or direction. Identifying and understanding trends help you to trade in their direction rather than against them.

If you trade in the direction of the trend, it increases your chances of success. When you know the trend, you can avoid any wrong buy or sell signs. It is not necessary that in an upward trend, the next high will be high.

It can be below the last high as well. These are exceptions and you cannot avoid them as reality is different from theory. In the real world, you must consider a trend to be true that fits its definition the most. Simple strategy of using trends for trading:. Though trends tend to deviate from their direction, they help you to determine which way to move for a more profitable trade.

Several factors trigger a trend such as a change in a government policy, international transactions, supply and demand, and speculation and expectation. Don't Miss: Top Chart Patterns Every Trader Should Understand. As a trader, you can identify the trend through technical analysis. This analysis includes both trend lines and indicators. Most traders look for bars and candles to read a chart. However, a more effective and simpler tool is the line graph. Unlike bars and candles that give you detail information about the charts, a line graph can simply and quickly help you identify the trend direction.

This is the perfect start for you to start identifying a trading trend. Spotting highs and lows on charts is also a very easy method to identify a trend. An uptrend here means a chart with higher highs and higher lows. This is because there are more buyers and pushes the price higher and lows are also high because buyers keep on buying dips sooner and sooner. On the other hand, a bearish or downtrend refers to lower highs and lower lows as a higher number of sellers move price in a lower direction and lows are also low because sellers are selling but there are no interested buyers in the market.

This method of identifying trends does not need any indicators. It is quite straightforward and purely a price action method. Though it is quite easy to understand, this is not the best method to spot trends. This is another good method of identifying trends and will help you understand the market movements.

Trendlines are suitable for later trend stages as you need at least touchpoints to draw a trendline. Trendlines are good if you want to identify an established trend. If you have a strong trend and the trendline breaks all of a sudden, it indicates a transition into a new trend.

A trendline is mainly a straight line that connects lows of an upward trend or highs on a downward trend. These lines work as support and resistance lines.

You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. This indicates the average movement direction. This indicator helps in identifying a trend, and also the best time to make a trade. For any currency pair this indicator has three lines:. When the positive directional indicator moves above the negative indicator, it shows an uptrend. On the other hand, when a negative signal rises above a positive signal, it indicates a downtrend.

In an uptrend, you can buy, and in a downtrend, you can sell. However, both these signals make sense only if the ADX indicator is rising. If ADX is falling, you must think of profit-taking. Read Also: Support And Resistance Analysis. This is the simplest and the most used indicator. It indicates the average price value over a particular period. In this, you can take the closing price of the last and most distant candlesticks with different statistical weights.

Based on this, the moving average can be several types namely simple, smoothed, weighted, and exponential. You can see moving average like support or resistance but as curves moving in time. Traders use different strategies to trade with moving average but the common approach is:. These indicators help you to identify the strength of the trend, the direction of the trend, and the possible reversal points. This is mainly a momentum oscillator that is used to trade trends.

On the chart, you can see this as two lines that oscillate without boundaries. The crossover of these lines gives you trading signals. In this, you identify a trend by studying a day moving average. For this, apply a day moving average to the price chart to understand if prices are moving consistently above the average range. Now, once you know that price is moving above average, you can move to the second step of determining trade entry points in the chart.

You can enter a long position wherever you observe an MCAD crossover with the bullish line above the bearish line bullish crossover. When you have entered an uptrend, you must also know where it can come to an end. If there is a bearish cross-over, it indicates that the momentum of the trend is decreasing and it can change its direction. If you are trading on a long position, you can start looking for an exit point from this point. However, it can be a temporary pullback also.

Bollinger bands: This indicator is also displayed on the chart of a currency pair. It consists of a set of three curves based on moving averages. The volatility of a financial instrument decides the Bollinger channel boundaries. When there is no clear-cut trend, the price will deviate from the midline. However, when the trend gains strength, there will be more deviations.

As a result, the channel boundaries will diverge. After analysing the Bollinger bands:. Envelopes: Envelopes are based on two moving averages; one is upwards and the other is downwards. If the market has high volatility, the distance between these lines will be higher as well. It means that both lines will make a channel and the price will mostly stay in this channel.

Using this strategy you can:. Check Out: Why Should Traders Read Analysis Reports? You can make the most of your trade following the trends. Thus, the tools and indicators that help you identify trading trends with high accuracy are important. Trading with a trend reduces the risk.

How To Calculate Your Risk While Trading. How Difficult is Forex Trading? What Are Forex Signals? How to Start Making a Profit With Forex Trading. What Are The Easiest Currency Pairs To Trade? Trade Forex Now. By Trading Education Team.

Last Updated September 7th What Is A Trend? Trends can be of three types: Upward or Bullish trend: In an upwards trend, you will notice a continuous sequence of rising highs and lows.

Each subsequent high and low will be above that of previous ones. Downward or Bearish trend: In this, there is a continuous fall of highs and lows. Each subsequent high and low will be below the last one. Horizontal or flat trend: In this, the price moves without any clear upwards and downwards movement.

Most of the time, highs are arranged chaotically and are almost at the same level. On the other hand, low lies as a sleeping or horizontal line with no clear message or logic behind it. Why Are Trends Important?

In an uptrend, for example, the following high may be lower than the previous one, while in a downtrend, a too high low may stand out against the general market picture. Copyright © The moving average depicts the average price over a certain time period. The second leading line, Senkou B, is also the midpoint between the Tenkan-Sen and the Kijun-Sen. A trend in the forex market indicates the movement of the price of a currency pair in a predictable direction over a specific period. These indicators help you to identify the strength of the trend, the direction of the trend, and the possible reversal points.

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